Last Minute PIcks for Oscar Noms

UPDATE: I had an 87.5% success rate! I was five for five in Best Picture, Best Actor, and both screenplay categories, 4 for 5 in Best Actress, Best Supporting Actress, and Director, and 3 for 5 in Best Supporting Actor - curse you, William Hurt!


In alphabetical order, with my runner-up dark horse listed last, here are my picks for the Big Eight:

Best Picture
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night and Good Luck
Munich
runner-up - Walk the Line

Best Actor
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Terrence Howard, Hustle and Flow
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
David Strathairn, Good Night and Good Luck
runner-up - Russell Crowe, Cinderella Man

Best Actress
Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Charlize Theron, North Country
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Ziyi Zhang, Memoirs of a Geisha
runner-up - Keira Knightley, Pride and Prejudice

Best Supporting Actor
Don Cheadle, Crash
George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Bob Hoskins, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
runner-up - Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Junebug
Maria Bello, A History of Violence
Catherine Keener, Capote
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain
runner-up - Frances McDormand, North Country

Best Director
George Clooney, Good Night and Good Luck
Paul Haggis, Crash
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Fernando Mireilles, The Constant Gardener
Steven Spielber, Munich
runner-up - Bennett Miller, Capote

Best Original Screenplay
Crash
Good Night and Good Luck
Match Point
The Squid and the Whale
Syriana
runner-up - Cinderella Man

Best Adapted Screenplay
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
The Constant Gardener
A History of Violence
Munich
runner-up - Shopgirl